Wednesday, January 26, 2011

Snowstorm Update... and a comment on the morning surprise!

The snow is coming down heavy at this moment, still looking out for thunder snow. Accumulations have been ranging from 4''-6'' in the I-95 corridor currently. Local and larger weather stations have been reporting that another 6 inches may fall before all is said and done. Just as before other areas around Philly, Boston, and New York may see more than another 6'' of snow. That all depends on the explosiveness of this storm, which has shown to be pretty explosive already. Snow rates in many areas now are at 1''-3'' of snow per hour already. Snow rates like that will taper off as the night wears on, but accumulating snow will fall till 1am or later depending on your area.

New snow fall totals and predictions are out, though are still subject to change. Current snow forecasts put the bulls eye of snow just west of the Philadelphia area. With forecast of above 12'', even up to 15'' of snow in local sections.

New Snow Forecast

Philadelphia- 10''-15'' ( less in some areas)


New York- 9''-14''


Boston- 9''-12''


Baltimore- 5''-8''

Now a comment on the morning snow surprise. I only comment on this because of the implications it had on the area. Treacherous and dangerous travel snarled morning travel  all across the east coast. Most issues took place in east-southern Pa.  where people woke up to an inch of snow already on the ground and more falling. Then it quickly picked up causing blinding conditions on the roads and exasperating school pick ups. many schools caught off guard sent kids home early and or never got the kids to school.

With all of this most would wonder why none of the weather station correctly forecasted this snow event. The honest fact to accept is that many meteorologist just lost hold on there roots of basic forecasting. Blame cannot go to them for the timing, no one expected that, and it could not be forecasted. Unfortunately what they can be blamed on is the type of precipitation that fell. It would seem that if they had understood the atmospheric conditions at the time many would have been spared the rough travel. The reason for the snow came when the temperatures started out below freezing. At this moment the snow stuck and accumulated fast. Snowfall rates increased to the point that temperatures decreased, and then suppressed as the morning goes on. The final result being 3''-6'' of snow across Southern P.a. and the east coast.  Why is this a mistake? This is because this would have been forecastable if meteorologist had just incorporating that basic rule into there forecasts. Do not lose faith in the forecast's, just be more aware of the forecast, and enjoy your snowstorm and stay off the roads.

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