Monday, June 1, 2015

Flood Concerns and Tropical Trouble?



   Today’s flood threat continues for the I-95 corridor. Rainfall ranging from 1-3 inches, locally more, stretches from Georgia to Maine. Once again, for many this rain will come down in heavy downpours, generally associated with storms. Just like last night, flooding can rapidly take over intersections, underpasses, and other low lying areas.
   
Flooding in Newark yesterday

   New Jersey saw the worst of last night’s flash flooding and is not out of the woods yet. Fortunately, it looks like the heaviest rain will be up towards Connecticut, Rhode Island, and Massachusetts in the next 48 hours. This does not mean that people in Pennsylvania, New York, and Maryland should let their guard down, because as long as there is heavy rain around, the threat for flash flooding exists.
   Unlike yesterday, there should not be as many severe storms, but don’t rule out the stray severe storm. Today and tomorrow will be the wettest of the week, and the coolest. Temperatures today and tomorrow will be in the 60s-70s across much of the region, and even cooler the farther north you head.
   Changing gears a bit, it is June 1st, and that means the start of Hurricane Season. We already had Ana, now could Bill be on the horizon? The GFS has been leading the charge for the weather models in regards to possible development near the Bahamas.  This is still 130 hours out, but the GFS has been consistent with developing a storm, even possible hurricane off the east coast next week. It’s way too early to tell where it will go or if it will even develop. As should be practiced with any weather event over 5 days out, keeping an ear out is advised, but full attention is not necessary. If in 5 days it appears a storm is imminent in the Bahamas, then attention can be shifted accordingly.

GFS 1003mb low at 126 hrs


  

GFS 997mb low at 168 hrs





















 


 For those interested NOAA (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration) has come out with their 2015 Hurricane Season Outlook.

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